Last updated: 09.30 BST
The sort of newborn cases of swine contagion in England appears to be levelling off, with an estimated 110,000 newborn cases reportable terminal week. This compares to an estimated 100,000 cases the hebdomad before.
Sir Liam Donaldson, the Chief Medical Officer, noted that the change coincided with the break up of schools for the season and the launching of the National Pandemic Flu Service terminal week.
"There’s still contagion around and there’s no sense in which it’s gone away", he said. "We’re expecting a rattling bounteous inflate in the autumn, but we conceive this delay in the increase haw give us a taste of breathing expanse to intend on with our thinking and secure every the necessary measures are in locate for the autumn."
Other key points prefabricated at the weekly briefing included:
- There is no clew that the virus is changing, and it is not becoming more nonindulgent or nonindustrial resistance to anti-virals
- The diminutive sort of deaths has mainly been in adults and older children with inexplicit venture factors
- There has been a modification in the estimated sort of cases in 5-14 assemblage olds. Estimated cases hit continuing to increase in another age-groups and in the North
- As of July 28th, there were 793 grouping with swine contagion hospitalised in the UK
- There hit been 27 swine flu related deaths in England to date. With the quaternary in Scotland, the UK total is 31
- Over 150,000 grouping were presented Tamiflu finished the National Pandemic Flu Service in its prototypal hebdomad
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National Pandemic Flu ServiceThe National Pandemic Flu Service was launched terminal week. The newborn online assist assesses patients for swine contagion and, if required, gives them an management sort that crapper be utilised to amass drug medication.
The system, which crapper also be accessed by telephone, is designed to verify the lineage soured GPs as swine contagion spreads. For the moment, it is exclusive existence utilised in England.
“The National Pandemic Flu Service is a newborn self-care assist which module give grouping with pandemic swine contagion symptoms alacritous admittance to aggregation and antiviralsâ€, said a department of upbeat spokesman.
“This newborn assist module free up GPs, sanctioning them to care with another illnesses that need their imperative attentionâ€.
The launch of the newborn grouping effectuation essential changes to the authorised advice presented to those who conceive they haw hit swine flu.
That advice â€" and the newborn grouping itself â€" is supported by the Royal College of General Practitioners.
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Latest adviceIf you hit flu-like symptoms and are concerned that you haw hit swine flu:
- Stay at bag and analyse your symptoms at the National Pandemic Flu Service
- You should call your GP direct if: - you hit a earnest inexplicit sickness - you are meaningful - you hit a displeased female low digit assemblage older - your aggregation dead gets much worsened - your aggregation is still effort worsened after seven life (five for a child)
Note: The National Pandemic Flu Service is a newborn online assist that module set your symptoms and, if required, provide an management sort that crapper be utilised to amass drug drug from a topical collection point. For those who do not hit internet access, the aforementioned assist crapper be accessed by ring on:
Telephone: 0800 1 513 100 Minicom: 0800 1 513 200
For more aggregation on the National Pandemic Flu Service go to Flu Service - Questions and Answers
People in Scotland, Wales and Northern Ireland should visit www.direct.gov.uk/pandemicflu
Planning assumptions
Earlier this month, the polity free a Planning Assumptions paper outlining possible scenarios for how the pandemic strength amend in the UK. It says that if the underway growth in cases is sustained, a substantial gesture of cases with up to 30% of the accumulation experiencing symptoms could extreme in early September, though a diminutive but earlier extreme is also possible.
Alternatively, seasonal personalty strength substantially andante the pestilential in July and August â€" perhaps to the extent of leading to a fall in weekly cases in August, before resurgence in the autumn, for warning when schools reopen. If so, the overall extreme of the pandemic strength be suspended to October or modify later.
These forecasts and others in the report are supported on a "reasonable poorest case" value and should thence not be condemned as a prediction of how the pandemic module develop. Planning against the commonsensible worst-case scenario module ensure, however, that plans are burly against every probable scenarios.
Mortality thinking assumptions range from 3,100 deaths in the UK to 65,000 deaths in a commonsensible poorest case scenario.
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Advice for meaningful womenMany newspapers hit reported that meaningful women are existence presented unclear advice on swine flu.
Pregnant women are digit of the higher venture groups for swine flu, as they are for every contagion viruses. It is thence essential for them to verify precautions.
This website provides flooded and up-to-date advice for meaningful women and parents of teen children. The advice has not denaturized fresh and is available at the following links:
Swine flu advice for meaningful women Swine flu pregnancy and parenting Q&A Swine contagion symptoms, including high-risk groups Chief Medical Officer's advice on pregnancy, holidays, and parents
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How chanceful is swine flu?The vast majority of cases reportable so farther in this land hit been mild. Only a diminutive sort hit led to earnest illness, and these hit ofttimes been where patients hit had inexplicit upbeat problems.Â
There has been an discussion put nervy that the polity should limit antivirals to those groups who are most at venture of nonindustrial earnest complications from swine flu. In another words, if grouping are otherwise healthy, then the NHS should let the virus run its course, treating it with paracetamol and bed rest as you would normal flu.
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